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"Certain Death"

There is an important fallacy people have with respect to hurricanes. See, many see the media and go, "Pffft, fools are just crying wolf. It's usually nowhere near that bad."

The wolf is ALWAYS there. It just sometimes doesn't kill all the sheep. Crying wolf is not only appropriate, but necessary since there really IS a wolf; some people just like to ignore it, since not all wolves kill everyone and destroy everything.

But the wolf is still there. EVERY time.